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This book describes a comprehensive approach to §identify and deal with real options in projects, §that is, those real options (flexibility) that are §integral parts of the technical design. It attempts §to specify analytically the design parameters that §provide good opportunities for flexibility for any §specific engineering system. §§It proposes a two-stage integrated process: options §identification followed by options analysis. The §options identification stage discovers the design §elements most likely to provide worthwhile §flexibility, including a screening and a simulation §model. Options analysis stage develops a stochastic §mixed-integer programming model to value options. §This approach decreases the complexity and size of §the models at each stage and thus permits efficient §computation. §§The framework developed is generally applicable to §engineering systems. The book explores two cases in §river basin development and satellite §communications, showing significant value of real §options in projects, in the form of increased §expected net benefit and/or lowered downside risk.
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